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Sorry CC - I'm not going to follow your logic, because I believe!

I have faith in Tapewatcher's overall drift! The mom's are going out at #4, because I think their editing shows that they are tired and running out of gas. C&C are assholes, and though they usually display the best travel skills, this season is going to be a feelgood story.

B&N are there in the F3 because somebody else had to be there and they haven't screwed up enough to get eliminated.

Other people may have come to the same conclusion, yourself included, based on EDGIC, but I just like a mix of evidence and belief in TV still being about an entertaining story.

Like I said..... I believe!!

It's all about faith CC!

Faith in the power of TapeWatcher! You can't easily analyze your way to prominence, you have to inspire people to follow you. Tapewatcher seems to do that for people. EDGIC may be more intellectually sound, but it doesn't inspire the masses!

Oh please....don't you get the essence of Tapewatcher's assessment? Chip and Kim practice their faith in God by generally going around treating other people well. The editors saw this and decided to edit the series based around that philosophy, AFTER C&K won (oops edited from C&C typo!! ). The story they tell is designed to emphasize that point.

That's it. Charla and Mirna didn't lose because they didn't have faith. They lost because they screwed up on a leg. They weren't destined to lose because of their "lack of faith."

All you can do with Tapewatcher's assessment is rationalise things that happen, and predict things based on the general premise. It proved to be pretty good in S1 and S2, and it's looking good so far. Sure you can pick holes in it, but analyzing everything he says is rather pointless, especially if you lose sight of his big picture.

One of these days I will try to read the EDGIC thread...