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I believe the Missy spoilers and seeing how the game is going, I can see how it all plays out...it makes reasonable sense.

The Foa Foa's have been the underdogs and have suffered a bit more than the other tribe, which, up until the freak monsoon, was living like a happy hippie commune. Fortunately, the monsoon is making it insufferable for the Galu's as well - and suffering allows the ugly side of human nature to rear its head more often than not. So we're seeing more of people's true colors.

At any rate, that core group of Mick, Russell, Natalie and Elizabeth have a more "familial" bond because of their experience as pre-merge Foa Foa's with the constant losing combined with emotional and verbal abuse abound. The Galu's are not as tight, and aside from Shannon, Laura and Russell, it seems like you have a large group of preppie rich kids who were all hand picked off the street (or at the bar, or out of a model catalog) in L.A. to be on this show. Laura seems like a trophy wife, and I'll giver her credit, she's obviously running things over there and it's apparent why...she's just running that crew (Monica, Kelly, Brett and John) as if it were her own children, which is easy to do if you're a vivacious, "hip" mom who loves to gossip. Now I like Erik, and it seems like he's separated himself from that tribe, much like Shannon - because neither of them feel as if they're playing with real competitors. And Lawyer Russell is just a control freak who will be medivaced pre-merge, so he's out of the equation anyway.

All of this equals a dysfunctional, non-cohesive tribe which will inevitably self destruct, thus allowing the Foa Foa's to deftly move towards the Final Four. How the Galu's get "pagonged" or "timbiraed" is inconsequential, we just know that this will happen and they will all be on the jury with one other Foa Foa member...Liz.

From the spoilers, and from what we've seen thus far, Shannon hates being on Galu so she flips over to the Foa Foa Four and creates a substantive voting block (probably eclipsing Liz to take that coveted Final Fourth spot, which is likely since Shannon is actually really tight with Oil Man Russell, despite the edit to the contrary). Erik gets blindsided becoming first member of the jury (probably Galu's means of flushing out the immunity idol that he has).

With that Foa Foa Four, only three are really tight, as we have seen in subtle ways thus far...Mick, Oil Man Russell and Natalie so...ta daa: Final Three! The winner is either Russell or Mick with this whole "Good vs. Evil" final finish. Mick has been edited to be the white collar Greek Adonis with an MD and perfect Kennedy teeth and hair whereas Russell is this blue collar bloated troll with a chipped tooth and a bald head - you have the perfect character archetypes here for a final showdown...with Natalie as the T&A factor.

There you go...enjoy the season! :)