I decided to do a little comparison with Mick and Natalie as compared to other winners. Mick with all the MORP/CPP guys. Natalie with the UTR people. I used
the rankings on the front page for all of these, and Mick and Natalie's scores as well(I also checked with some of the redo's in the Edgic charts
thread for Vecepia and Amber)
Bolded is the merge Episode by the way.
Lets look at the guys first, what are the common patterns? And does Mick fit in with those?
- Postive or CP first episode: Mick passes that easily.
- Has an average postive rating of 43% for all the Pre Merge Episodes: Mick has 14% (1 P) in his entire Pre Merge, so cant give him credit
on that (Although he is VERY close to Aras)
- 37% of all their Pre Merge Epsiodes are CP: Mick has 14% again (1 CP) Below Average Again (Again close to Aras)
- None have an INV1: Mick gets that one right.
- Usually have a holding MOR or strong CP in the episode before the merge: Mick as well as Aras have the same score (Assuming Mick does get a
MOR2 as I expect, even if I think he was OTT2)
- Have 0-1 UTR episodes: Mick passes either way since his most likely rating this episode are UTR or MOR.
- If Mick is our winner and he follows this pattern with the merge episodes expect him to get a CP preferrably with tone, and with the visibility of a
4 or a 5.
- Just like we compared J.T. to Tom last season. Aras will be our best fit for Mick this time.
Now for the UTR group similarities.
- They have a weak first episode (Except Bob): Natalie passes that, even if it still doesnt look good on her.
- Most of them have around 1 CP in the entire Pre Merge Era: Natalie had hers in EP4.
- Over half have the dreaded INV1 at some point. (Bob had a highly debatable one, but escaped it.) Natalie has an INV1, again not good, but she fits
in.
- Tend to skew P, but generally have around 32.3% of their scores as P. Natalie has a P in one episode, a debatable P and a debatable N/M this episode.
- Final Pre Merge episode varies from CPP5 to INV1, but more recently they've been fairly low key: Natalie was pretty hidden this time
- If Natalie is our winner (doubtful), her merge episode rating should be a 3 in visibility, with most likely a MORP to go along with it.
I'm not saying I support Natalie to win. Mick is my top choice an until he is voted out or wins I will support him as my #1, but there is a
pretty similar edit amoung the UTR's and I dont want to be caught off gaurd like in Gabon.













