New Poll
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Mikester |
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I don't think anyone gets taken out by HII next week. I feel like we're more likely to see a tie.
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craig |
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Russell was putting himself one step closer to the million dollars doing what he does better than anybody in the history of this game… finding another HIDDEN immunity idol without the help of a clue.Wonder how many he will have found by the end of 20? 3? 4? 5? Eventually everyone will learn to just vote for random people at the merge. The Edgardo and Kelly types. |
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NataSatan666 |
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Mikester wrote: Go drink your juice like a good little fucktard
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aboutbreakingrules |
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craig wrote: Russell just put another nail in his coffin. As much as it may elude Jeff, anyone with a single working brain cell understands that this stage of the competition is about cultivating and solidifying relations with the bench. That's definitely not his golden boy's strong suit. |
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hpolo |
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But what we should look at is that people who actually did play the game little cruel, harsh, backstabbing, and conniving, are the people who get jury vote in
the end - like Parv & Todd did. Or else it should be some heroic figure like JT or Yul, but I see no characters like them this season. So I'm pretty
sure that if Russ makes into F3, he's gonna get the most jury votes, under the premise that he's with other Foa Foas or Shamu. And I think, what I can
guess from the web promo of this week - Russ saying he doesn't need a HII, i think sb over at Galu's gonna flip, and I think it'd be John. He's
a great player but not rendered much in the TV, but watching at Samoa Insider clip, I think it'd be John. Or it could be Brett too, because I think he
could be kinda anxious because his greatest alliance, Kelly, was voted out.
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aboutbreakingrules |
He just can't admit his head is way too far up the guy's ass | ||
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What about what we actually do look at?
If that last blindside is any indication, Russell Hantz is Public Enemy Number One. He's living on borrowed time. He'd better be ready to pay like no one else has ever paid, because he won't be able to get that target off his back anymore. Especially not if more than half the jury will consist of purple buffs and one will definitely be a yellow buff. Like it or not, there is a magic formula to being the Sole Survivor, and it is never reinvented. You need to focus on whom you can get into the all-important Core Group and who actually does wind up in there. From that point on, you need to look at whom to put on the jury bench and whom to put alongside you in front of the jury bench. Finally, you need to focus on how to make your opponent's nature work against them when addressing the jury. Bottom line, CULTIVATE THAT DAMN BENCH!!! Russell hasn't reinvented anything about the season or the game. In fact, he committed an extreme blunder that threatened the fortunes of his entire alliance, through no fault of their own. If it hadn't been for their quick thinking at damage control, he'd be an early juror and they wouldn't be too far behind. Bottom line, he had everything to do with getting them into the mess and nothing to do with getting them out. Bravo, Natalie, for that bailout. There's another side to that last-second sneak attack Jeff gushed over. The looks on the Galu's faces were more than just solid gold - they were a warning sign. Russell blew the cover off his game for all to see. He was also very foolish to gloat in their faces, as it left them feeling like perfect chumps. Jurors present and future tend to be long on memory and short on forgiveness. There's more. In announcing that the idol would be re-hidden, Jeff ripped the blinders off the Galu and ripped the mask off his golden boy. If any of the Galu follow Kelly onto the bench before Russell does, they're not going to point the finger at Jaison or Natalie or Mick. No doubt Jeff needed to change his underwear and pants a few dozen times from all that creaming. However, he'd be wise to remember Brian Heidik and Chris Daugherty. They didn't have any hidden get-out-of-jail-free card or auction weapon to bail them out. All they had going for them were their wits. If Russell had to play by those rules, how long would his game life last?
Last Edited By: aboutbreakingrules
11/14/09 7:57 PM.
Edited 2 times.
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SwineForkbeard |
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^ Sour grapes much? Russell was the one with the strategic ability to assemble a coalition to vote out Laura at F12 before she won immunity. He had enough social game to flip Shambo and use her as a mole. And now idoling Kelly shows he's willing to bust his ass to outplay them and use any tool at his disposal. He's attacking Galu from every possible angle, and if he makes the final 3, he'll have done about as much as anyone ever has to earn the win. He has to figure out a way to outlast before he can worry about sucking up to the jury, but what's he's done and will have to continue to do will speak for itself. Now his haters are gleefully saying "Just think what sore losers the Galu jury members will be if he has to face them." As if it's Russell's fault that they're idiots and an 8-4 majority wasn't enough to stop him. |
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JT4ever |
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aboutbreakingrules wrote:Um, what!? Think about it some more. You give the Foa Foa 3 credit for "controlling" the "damage" that Russell had supposedly done. Now ask yourself: What if Russell had caused no damage? What if Russell had come over at the merge and done just like the other 3 Foa Foans: play nice and schmooze up the Galu 8? What do you think would have happened? There would have been no damage done, sure. But what exactly do you think would have gotten done? Would Laura and Monica have found out about Russell's idol? No. Would Laura have told Erik about Russell's idol? No. Would Erik have devised a plan to deal with the knowledge of Russell's idol? No. Would Erik have devised a plan that involved setting up a Jaison blindside while also setting up Monica for an idol bounce? No. Would Erik have had any reason to go over to Foa Foa to try to sell them on the idea of voting for Monica while keeping Russell in the dark? No. Would Erik have gone over to Foa Foa to sell this and condescend to them in the process? No. Would Jaison have gotten pissed at Erik's condescension and decided to target Erik? No. Would Natalie have any reason to go over to Laura and the girls to tell them about Erik's Monica plan? No. Would Erik have been voted off as a result? Hell no. So with no "damage" for Natalie/Mick/Jaison to "control," and with Russell sitting on his butt and kissing Galu ass just like them, what would have happened? Somebody on Foa Foa would have gone home, and given that Russell wasn't perceived as the biggest physical threat, it most likely would have been Jaison or Mick, with Russell's undisclosed idol essentially useless to protect Foa Foa. That's what would have happened without the so-called damage Russell caused. While deriding this "damage," you're conveniently forgetting that Foa Foa came into the merge down 4 to 8, and with absolutely nothing to stand in the way of an orderly pagonging. All they had was the fact that Shambo liked them, and even then Shambo's primary loyalty was to Erik. Shambo even told Foa Foa flat out that Laura was the only Galu name she'd write down. And Laura had immunity. The Foa Foa 4 had absolutely nothing else to stand in the way of their pagonging.... Oh, wait they did have something else. What's that, you ask? Russell, his idol and his hustle. To cause damage. To bring on chaos. And to create opportunity for Foa Foa. |
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aboutbreakingrules |
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Irrelevant.
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JT4ever |
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aboutbreakingrules wrote:Irrelevant to what? Before you have to worry about jury votes, you have to get there. And without Russell's hustle, someone from Foa Foa would have gone home at the merge, thus making it less likely for all 4 members of Foa Foa to make it all the way to facing the jury. Russell's move may have cost him, but it ultimately benefited his alliance, you know, the people whose support he needs to get to the end game. If someone on Foa Foa other than Russell winds up winning, that person will still have benefited from Russell's hustle at the merge. Recognize! |
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cindidindi76 |
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If (when) someone from FF wins, that person will have benefitted from the stuff the other FF did at the merge, and from Galu's idiocy.
Recognize! |
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JT4ever |
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cindidindi76 wrote:I do. |
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Shion is Queen |
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JT4ever, you have very solid points, but you seem hell-bent on giving Russell credit for Natalie's power play. If Russell Swan hadn't been medivaced,
the plan probably wouldn't have worked either. He doesn't deserve credit for Natalie's move, either. Everything is cause-and-effect in Survivor.
If Foa Foa hadn't lost so many challenges, they wouldn't be so tight and students of the game (I use that term loosely with some of them). Yes,
Russell made a good move and it would have worked, but it didn't. So Natalie, the one who knew all the cracks in Galu, stepped up, and her plan DID work.
Russell does not deserve credit for that.
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JT4ever |
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I give Natalie full credit for what she accomplished.
I'm only responding to those folks who only saw Russell's play in the merge episode as one massive FAIL. Natalie would not have been in a position to save Foa Foa's bacon without Russell's work that episode. And sure, everything could have been different if things had happened differently before the merge. But given the situation Foa Foa were in at the merge, I think Russell deserves credit for his contributions to the positive outcome for Foa Foa, just as Natalie deserves credit for hers. Without both of their contributions, Foa Foa would have not have come out of that episode still four strong, even if Russell was the least likely of the four to get the boot. |
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mecansodemactors |
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JT4ever wrote: I disagree with the bolded part. You have to worry about jury votes as you're voting the other contestants out. It's one of the things that makes survivor so difficult and interesting. |
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JT4ever |
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mecansodemactors wrote:Of course. But that's not a luxury you usually have when you're down 4 to 8, and you're fighting for your life in the game, unless of course you happen to have an ally who will do the necessary dirty work. |
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Shion is Queen |
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JT4ever wrote:Russel's play wasn't a fail, it just has yet to come to fruition. To say Natalie couldn't have pulled her plan off without him is just speculation. Russell deserves plenty of credit, but not in this instance. |
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JT4ever |
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Shion is Queen wrote:Huh? So Galu comes in 8 to 4 and are still down 2 people without Russell's play coming to some sort of fruition? Does not compute. To say Natalie couldn't have pulled her plan off without him is just speculation.I didn't say she couldn't have pulled it off. I was arguing that she wouldn't have had the opportunity to pull it off without the set of circumstances Russell's play created. I'd be curious to hear your speculation of how she could have gotten someone voted off Galu, starting from the merge feast, using what you know of the players, their personalities and their game priorities, and assuming that Russell did no more than any other member of Foa Foa. Go.
Last Edited By: JT4ever
11/17/09 6:48 AM.
Edited 1 times.
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birdlady |
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So if all that is correct, Natalie very successfully caused Russell to sacrifice himself to get her to the finals. I think that would make her the winner.
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JT4ever |
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birdlady wrote:Natalie didn't cause Russell to do anything. Russell was trying to get his own ass to the finals, and his approach requires him to also advance people who'll vote with him and not against him. Natalie happens to be one of those people. That she, instead of he, might win is the risk which that -- hardly unorthodox -- approach entails. |
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