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If John and Russell are both good players, they could seriously work this move to their advantage.

Simply put, Russell, if he is really that great at this game, should realize that John, by backstabbing Galu, has hurt his relations with Kelly, Laura, Brett, Dave, and Monica. That is 5/9 of the jury that John will now have a much harder time winning over, not to mention that he was somewhat involved with Erik's backstabbing, although not to the same degree as the Galu girls and Natalie. Shambo has been the best most amazing goat since Katie. By comparison, Natalie and Jaison are huge jury threats, and Mick has no strike against him, which is more than can be said for Russell. Russell, from a gameplay perspective, cannot expect to get jury votes from most of the jury against any of the other foa foas, and John just made himself into a very desirable player to take to the end. Russell would keep saying that John would go at 6, giving the other Foa Foas reason to keep him around, and then at 6 he would flip and use the idol to force Jaison out (or if he wins immunity, Mick), and then he would guide the game to a Russell/John/Shambo F3, which gives him the best chance at winning the game.

Russell could probably get Brett, Monica, and Laura to vote for him, so that's 1/3 of the votes going his way, with the very strong possibility of Kelly going that way too. Depending on how the other Foa Foas view Russell's play, he would have a shot at their three votes also. Shambo wouldn't get any votes, and John would have a huge uphill fight at the FTC in order to win by starting out 50/50 or worse with pretty much every juror.

For John, this is a good move because, if Russell is at all smart, he's going to the end, which is probably better than would have happened had he stuck with Galu (Even if he forces the tie and a foa/sham pulls the rock, he still has a huge uphill battle to the end, and that's assuming that Galu wouldn't have found another way to blow it). John could aggressively advertise this to Russ and even use it to justify more socially-destructive moves; he isn't going to fall behind Sham as a jury threat, but he's 2nd to last, so he can do whatever he wants. The only player that I think would be able to effectively counter this sort of play would be Natalie, since she is the only player to show both strategic and social prowess, and she might notice that her F3 spot got gifted to John.

Or, if Russ is just the BS hype that we know him to be, he is going to vote off John and Sham and put himself in a position where he can't win. Or he'll fail at convincing the other foas to keep John around long enough to make a good move using him.

SPunKeeMonKee wrote:

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I honestly don't believe Russell would be dumb enough to allow a Galu member, even one as despised as John, to make it to the finals.. the jury might give John the win simply on principle of him being from their original tribe. It's a huge risk that would most likely blow up in Russell's face.

So it's better to hand the win to Natalie, Mick, or Jaison, all of whom have better relations with the jury simply by virtue of not being viewed as satan incarnate? I'm pretty sure that John would be less likely to get a lot of the jury votes than the other foa foas, given that those three are well-liked by everyone (especially Natalie, whom nobody should ever let into the F4 if possible because of the 1% chance she would have of winning immunity there and getting to the end. Even if John could win back some of the old Galu votes, he still backstabbed them, whereas the other foas did almost nothing objectionable since they started in the minority.

And taking Sham to the finals seems pretty obvious, NOBODY from any season would ever vote for her to get the million. She has had one of the single worst social games of all time, and Russ has been playing to it the whole time. There is no way in hell Sham would get any jury votes unless it were a Sham/Russ F2, in which case... wait, even Laura would vote for Russ there.