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PLAY
In John's lame negotiation with Russell, several basics of Survivor 101 are violated by John. #1 A deal in which I give you something now in exchange for future considerations is desperate and generally very poor play. Any benefit in the future must be discounted when compared to value in the present being exchanged. This discount rate is equal to risk and this deal with Russ should have a very high discount rate, to the point that what Russ agreed to has basically no value. #2 A deal isn't worth anything unless it is in the self-interest of both parties. John asks for the absurd as if he is negotiating from strength. "If I am your sixth vote, you must give up a Foa next." This is laughable it is so idiotic. No doubt Johnis going to get his ass voted off next when he tries to collect on Russ and Russ laughs in his face. John will pout and try to out Russ by telling the Foas that Russ agreed to vote off one of them.

RUSS READS JOHN THE RIOT ACT, E11
John starts pouting and demanding that Russ fulfil his obligation to vote Foa. Russ tells him to fuck off. He pouts some more and outs Russ. Russ at the TC, "First John, only a moron would honor such a deal and only a super moron would expect me too. You came to me and offered up your friends to save your sorry ass from the stupidity of Galu since the merge. Basically you said to me, 'I have no honor or balls. I am a little pussy scared of rocks. So Russ would you make a stupid deal with me and betray your friends?' At that point I am negotiating with a man with no honor and no brain. You insult me with a stupid and dishonorable offer. Therefore I am under no obligation to return any honor to you in doing anything other than lying to your Judas face. At least the other Galus, although they have played stupidly, have honor and the balls to face the rocks. Now you try to fuck with me and divide me against my firends by accusing me of conspiring to betray my friends. My accuser has pleaded guity to the crime he accuses me of and for that, you dick, we're voting you off tonight."

Well if Lynne had cast me that's what I would do in Russ' shoes.

FLIPPING
There was a 57% chance of Galu leaving the TC as the minority if they pulled rocks. Clearly the HII IS NOT under the rules in play after the votes. That is, only an immunity "won at a challenge" protects you from the rocks. Russ knows this (it may have been explained at the TC since Jeff obviously knew the tie was in play).

If the HII DID protect you against rocks, then Russ would have played it protecting himself against rocks, refecting him if he was in fact the target, and most importantly changing the odd of Galu drawing a rock to 4 in 6 (75%) at which case a flip would be almost a certainty.

In addition to the rock draw odds you also have to weigh the probabilities that someone else will flip too.

JOHN'S CORRECT PLAY IF YOU HE IS WILLING TO FLIP
If I were John the last person you make a deal with is Russ. He is at the center of power and doesn't need you. The best he can offer you is 5th (ahead of Shambo, and he really should offer nothing more than 6th). John should go to the Foa's 4th (Jaison) and cut a deal. The "deal" obligates nothing because these are not fricking contracts that you can sue over - good god this country is so legalistic. You deliver the sixth to someone other than Russ and create more power to them (Jaison). You must fracture Foa before they get to you. You ask nothing of Jaison, but it is now in Jaison's interest to make sure you do not go first. What the fuck is Russell going to say E11? I think we should vote Jaison's pet John?