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Faith for Mick Supporters

Natalie seems pretty golden right now, in terms of jury ties. Jury ties have never been used in edgic to determine the winner; rather, like our masterful cl, they are used to determine who will be in the Finals. Natalie and Russell must be in the Finals at this point. That third slot can go to whoever you think wins, unless you think Natalie or Russell win.

Something I found interesting in Nat and Russ' E4 scene:

Russ gets a confessional saying he's going to tell the jury that Natalie has rode him like a horse all the way to the end. This is true. This could hurt Natalie in the end, if jurors say that all she did was ride coattails.
Nat gets a confessional saying that Russ has rubbed people the wrong way, and she's going to build personal relationships and get more votes than him. This is true. But it may lose her some votes, since she has admitted that Russell basically has two votes in his pocket. However, She has all these jury ties. It will hurt Russell, and Natalie should get more votes than him (since her confessional came second to Russ')

But what about the 3rd party? The finals is going to revolve around Russ VS Nat so much. That could be our distraction if Mick is in there.

Mick's spiel to the jury, at this point, has to be that he's been observant and wary all the time:

Episode 3: "Of course, she's here for a reason. She's here to find the immunity idol and to get information to take back to her tribe which she claims she isn't super-tight with. You have to assume someone's lying always."

Episode 5: "We have to send somebody home tonight. Because the guys are pretty tight, possibly Liz, possibly Ashley or Natalie. I'll play it by ear."

Episode 10: "I don't know how much Foa Foa can trust Monica, I mean, she seems legit but there's no telling if it's just Laura getting her to be a little snake in the grass and get information, which seems almost equally as likely."

RECAP: "As soon as Jeff said that we needed to choose a leader, the first thing that went to my head was 'just let me stay under-the-radar'"
"I really want to trust the southern family guy in him, but maybe that's his schtick."

Russ: "If I thought Mick would say anything about what I do for a living, I wouldn't have told him.
Mick: (right after) "Russell's a pretty savy guy, so it doesn't really surprise me...if it got down to he or I in the end some where, and if that was the only ammo I had against him, of course I'd use it."

Episode 11: "Day 1, I was voted leader of Foa Foa but it developed that Russell is definitely the leader of us, strategically. He's a game player so I have to start thinking that he could take other people to the jury with him so that he has a better shot."

which ties into his E1 confessional about Ben:

"...The leadership thing is difficult and I'm still trying to sort out exactly how to run it. If he wants to step up and take control of things, you know what? Have at it my friend because he will paint his own target."

Episode 12: "There's definitely part of me that wants to make a big move and definitely I thought about the possibility of getting rid of Russell. There are emotional and moral attachments to people but every night I sit there and I visualize in my head my name with a million dollars written in front of it."

Episode 13: something about having to assume if Russell is lying

If Mick is there, he'll have to tell the jury that he let Russell make all the moves and take the bullets for him. He kind of confirmed this with his TCQ answer saying he's played as aggressive as Russell, but isn't as off-the-wall.

I hate predicting what the viewers are thinking, but I think the editors want to think "It's gotta be Russell or Natalie. Natalie is nice, Russell played the game". Mick winning would be a surprise, but it would be completely validated depending on what he says at the FTC. I think there's too much manipulation in his edit to ignore. He hasn't been shafted in long stretches, had a good start, and also something else:

On 3 occasions (I can only remember two), Mick has been labelled 'mentally tough'. I'm not sure why, but Erik said it was TC, it was labelled in the recap, and another time recently (I just forget when). This has been accompanied by (during the loses of Foa Foa and the rainstorms) of Mick perservering.

That's how I see it, if Mick wins. Or he could be Amanda with good manipulation, but only because she makes the finals.