Note that Clay almost beat Brian. Despite his sluglike nature, he had a glimmer of humanity in him, unlike the sociopath, and a few of the jury picked that up.

Amanda was the perfect goat because she looks so much like someone who ought to win, but in reality had no hope at all. You can go into the jury looking like you are the goat yourself, and then win the thing.

Lil and Denise also had that. Players assumed they would get a Pity vote. But there is no pity at Jury.