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James game was over once his alliance decided to turn on him. He has shown that he's not the II horse that many expected as the games are not purely physical anymore. He needed to win two immunities as well as use both his HII's to get to the final three. His best bet was to hope that his alliance stayed true which is why he harped on keeping the five together because then he knew he was set for F3 and likely the money. For that reason he should have realized that he was a huge threat - he even said alliances only work when they are mutually beneficial - what benefit was it to the others to keep him around anymore? He should have seen the writing on the wall, but it wouldn't have mattered anyways. I guess he would have had a fighting chance. His only tie to the alliance was his vote, and at this stage 5 vs 1 or 4 vs 2 is the same deal.

However he relied on his HII's too much and never formed bonds within the five. He saw his game as easy once he got to the five as he was safe and clear sailing. He needed to make his vote valuable, and to do that he needed to jump to PG and Erik along with one other member(preferably Denise). That way their F4 would have been 2 vs 2 and Erik and PG won more II's so far in the game.