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The American Idol final 12 was announced Thursday night with probably the biggest shock of the season thus far being Asia'h Epperson being voted off. She performed Whitney Houston's "I Wanna Dance With Somebody", and though it was all right and she certainly has the looks and confidence, it wasn't good enough for America. Asia'h had 25/1 odds of winning American Idol heading into Thursday night's results show at Bodog, which incidentally still had odds on those voted off long after the show had already ended, demonstrating once again the disadvantage that oddsmakers located outside the US have in managing American Idol betting odds. Obviously, this gives AI fans a huge advantage. Pinnacle Sports was quick to update their American Idol odds immediately following Thursday night's results show. They do not, however, accept customers from within the United States. The favorite - David Archuleta - was actually still a solid value requiring only a little more than a dollar risk to get a dollar back (the initial bet is paid back as well only if he becomes the next American Idol). Archuleta opened the Top 12 as a -130 favorite, requiring a $1.30 bet to win $1.00 (again, you would get that $1.30 back or whatever you end up betting only if Archuleta were to win the competition). The next big favorite would offer a nice big payout if she were to win: $5.03 for every $1.00 bet. That would be Ireland's own Carly Smithson. Australia's Michael Johns would pay out $7.25 for every $1.00 bet. We here at Gambling911.com are really liking David Cook, who would pay out $25.52 for every $1.00 bet at this stage in
the game.
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Gambling911.com - or "put yo money where yo mouth is" - Official Idol Odds
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 IdolSchmydol |
Gambling911.com - or "put yo money where yo mouth is" - Official Idol Odds |
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Posts: 21 (03/07/08 04:49 PM) |
Well, it's time for this again too. If you have other vices, in addition to watching this show, you can keep up with the official odds by those gambling
pros. The following is from Gambling911.com:
Last Edited By: IdolSchmydol 03/07/08 04:52 PM.
Edited 1 time.
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ProbstFan123 |
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Posts: 8205 (03/07/08 05:06 PM) Registered user |
Another Archuleta victory.
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SurvivorFanGP |
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Posts: 4824 (03/07/08 05:11 PM) Registered user |
*Laffo* This will be even more hilarious like all of the other Achuleta victories when he loses.
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ProbstFan123 |
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Posts: 8206 (03/07/08 05:13 PM) Registered user |
If he wins...he gets signed to a record deal.
If he loses...he gets signed to a record deal. Yeah, I'm not really seeing a downside here. |
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SurvivorFanGP |
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Posts: 4825 (03/07/08 05:16 PM) Registered user |
Getting signed doesn't mean instant success. Fucking Carmen had/has a record deal.
If he has success, it'll be because he'll be singing cheesy bubble-gum pop alongside Miley Cyrus. |
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Will |
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Posts: 28102 (03/07/08 05:44 PM) Amazing Race Moderator |
Even Ashley Simpson has an record deal and I think it's obvious that bitch can't sing.
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ImCrushingYourHead |
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Posts: 2110 (03/07/08 06:08 PM) Registered user |
AI already did the precocious win thing with Jordan Sparks. It hardly paid off. I doubt they'd do it twice.
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ProbstFan123 |
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Posts: 8207 (03/07/08 06:28 PM) Registered user |
Yes, because Jordin and David are exactly the same.
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SurvivorFanGP |
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Posts: 4837 (03/07/08 06:37 PM) Registered user |
Pretty much. Both were ZOMG!!11!1SEVENTEEN during their seasons, and both appeal to the schmaltzy Disney crowd.
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bubbybear |
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Posts: 2802 (03/07/08 06:37 PM) Registered User |
Jordan came across as much older than she was. Archuleta comes across as younger.
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MakePaulaCry |
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Posts: 921 (03/07/08 07:05 PM) Registered user |
I almost get the impression that David A. is a little retarded looking and slow. Christ, whenever he talks, it sounds like I'm listening to a 12 year old.
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8trackmind |
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Posts: 94 (03/07/08 07:31 PM) Registered user |
All this brings up a good question: just how many people in the top 12 DO have a chance to win? Archuleta's obviously the favorite, and obviously Michael
Johns and Carly Smithson have some shot. I'd definitely add Ramielle to that list, and maybe David Cook. But is there anybody else with even the remotest
chance? Iincidentally, has anybody pointed out that the last favorite to win was Reuben, FIVE SEASONS AGO?
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Ohailno |
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Posts: 236 (03/07/08 07:34 PM) |
Ashley Simpson has an record deal and I think it's obvious that bitch can't sing. Her first album debuted at #1, went triple platinum and got her a TV show. Her second album came out 15 months later, also debuted at #1 and went platinum. What point were you trying to make?
Last Edited By: Ohailno
03/07/08 07:38 PM.
Edited 1 times.
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ProbstFan123 |
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Posts: 8215 (03/07/08 07:35 PM) Registered user |
Fantasia and Carrie were obvious wins. I had them pegged right from the start of the season. I don't know what the betting odds were for either of them,
but to me at least it was clear they would win.
Taylor probably wasn't the odds-on favorite in his season, but anyone who looked at DialIdol after the first couple of weeks knew he was the probable winner. Jordin is the only slightly surprising winner. Although I wasn't really surprised that Melinda lost, I was surprised she went out in 3rd place. I figured she would probably lose in the final 2 to whoever she was up against. As for this season -- Brooke has a chance, Jason Castro has a chance, in addition to the people you mentioned. Although realistically I don't think any of the girls have a legitimate chance at winning. This is definitely a guy's season. |
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Will |
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Posts: 28112 (03/07/08 08:41 PM) Amazing Race Moderator |
ProbstFan123 wrote: You're right, I'm pretty sure Jordin can sing circles around David. Ohailno wrote: That even talentless bitches can fake it and make lots of money by being a complete crock. Also that people will follow hype and promotion.
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latingrl2005 |
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Posts: 1543 (03/08/08 01:50 PM) Registered User |
latest odds from Pinnacle Sports
Odds to Win Season 7: Odds to Win Tue 3/11 Odds To Win Season 7 05:00 PM 301 Michael Johns +725 302 David Archuleta -130 303 Carly Smithson +503 305 Syesha Mercado +1900 307 Kristy Lee Cook +7500 308 David Hernandez +7500 310 Ramiele Malubay +1417 311 Brooke White +1725 313 Jason Castro +929 314 Amanda Overmyer +12500 317 David Cook +2552 324 Chikezie Eze +20000 gambling board AMERICAN IDOL 2008- SEASON 7 Odds current as of 3-7-08 David Archuleta 3-2 Carly Smithson 4-1 Jason Castro 8-1 Michael Johns 12-1 Syesha Mercado 12-1 Brooke White 12-1 Ramielle Malubay 12-1 David Cook 20-1 Kristy Lee Cook 35-1 Chikezie Eze 50-1 David Hernandez 60-1 Amanda Overmyer 75-1 Breaking down the top 12- Serious contenders, the golden voices: David Archuleta Carly Smithson The hippie darkhorses: Brooke White Jason Castro X-factors uniqueness: Ramiele Malubay Syesha Mercado Faux rockers: David Cook Michael Johns Leftover lunch meat: Amanda Overmyer David Hernandez Chikezie Eze Kristy Cook |
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Survivor2345andbeyond |
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Posts: 3384 (03/08/08 01:59 PM) Registered User |
I think...
David A. David C. Brooke Michael Carly Brooke Jason all have a serious shot. This is a better change from Season 6 (Jordin,Melinda,Blake) |
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2Podunk 2Town |
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Posts: 528 (03/08/08 02:02 PM) Registered User |
Also that people will follow hype and promotion. Tell that to Carly Smithson and the $2.2 million that MCA put into her. |
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Will |
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Posts: 28129 (03/08/08 02:03 PM) Amazing Race Moderator |
Irish Bitch didn't get anywhere near as much promotion as Ashlee Simpson.
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2Podunk 2Town |
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Posts: 529 (03/08/08 02:06 PM) Registered User |
Irish Bitch didn't get anywhere near as much promotion as Ashlee Simpson. It was a joke. And we all know that the only reason Ashlee ever did anything is because she rode the coattails of her sister, who rode the coattails of her own breasts.
Last Edited By: 2Podunk 2Town
03/08/08 08:53 PM.
Edited 1 times.
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seaguy |
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Posts: 9142 (03/08/08 04:09 PM) Registered User |
People seriously believe that Michael Johns has a chance to win this?? Wow.
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American Idol Final 12: Betting Odds Already Released
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