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Changed names from the obscurely obscene "Plumpynut Saves" to this, but I assume you don't remember who that was so it's kind of a moot point.

On first impressions:

Now that Stephen and JT are making each other friendship bracelets and such, I think we can speculate with a fair amount of certainty that what they're trying to say here is "First impressions are wrong", or at least "You can overcome first impressions", Which bodes well for Sierra, I think.

So looking back at the first segment of the first episode, I'm gonna speculate that:

• Tyson is not a good guy to have around
• Erinn is not a bitch
• Sandy is not the first to go from Jalapano (confirmed)
• Sandy will not be able to lead Stephen around. Actually more likely that no one will be able to lead Stephen around, despite what his geeky muppet-like face implies.
• Sierra is not gonna crumble\give up. This doesn't necessarily mean she doesn't get voted out. (semi-confirmed?)
• Stephen and JT are going to connect on many levels (confirmed)
• The coach isn't lying to Brendan, he is sincere in his plans to change the game. There is a second, plastered-on piece of audio from another point and time of Bandan going "We are all here to play the game, and I don't think any of us wants the Coach in the game", but that doesn't strike me as a first impression. (confirmed, the first part anyway. I might be reading this one wrong).

So that's what I got so far.

Last thing about the first episode:

Tyson, Erinn, Sandy, Sierra, Jerry, Spencer, Stephen, JT, Brendan andCoach should all get a +1 next to their name for the season.

Sandy, Coach, Erinn, Sierra, Tyson and Stephen should also get a shiny gold star. Opening confessionals seem very important. Erinn and Tyson's star might be extra shiny, as their confessionals are not telling the immediate story.

Shortlist, in no particular order:

Erinn - I think she should be UTR3 for the episode. I know vis chart says 2, but the face time surely bumps her up to a 3. It was a very strange edit that deserves a strange rating. Basically, Erin was woven into Candaces story as the lone ally, even though she had no business being there (Her voting comment suggests they never had an alliance, and were just talking). And her face was everywhere, noticing stuff.

Also - the quick exchange between her and Debee at tribal is the sort of thing that you'd leave on the editing room floor. It had nothing to do with anything this episode.

I'm gonna go with the prediction of "Erinn either mutinies, faces jury or both". Then again, I have yet to be right about anything ever.

Also - she was toneless. I don't think negativity sticks to you just by talking to someone (Bob and Corrine were an alliance of two making moves together, and they had opposite tone). Her comments at tribal were smart, and she got no weird\disapproving reaction shots. Only Debee got one of those (From Candace, but still). Tribal council editing is rarely subtle. They make their points with chimes and eye rolls.

Shiny gold star for pre-credits confessional.

Jerry - Boring yet plausible. He established who he was, said he was going UTR, and then went UTR. Continually present, in a minor way, and got a little tribal council attention. Could happen.

Sierra - She's getting a lot of attention, and is more or less the protagonist of the Timbira tribe as I see it. She probably needs some what of a cool-down, but I really like her edit so far.

Shiny gold star for pre-credits confessional.

Spencer - Got to introduce himself in the first episode as someone who loves the game, portrayed as leading the charge to keep Sandy, and now saying she's the next to go. So far he is connected to all Jalapanos vote-off talk. He is a bit Narratorr-ish, but some of those win.

Additionally, there was no mention of his royal fuck-up at the first immunity challenge. Carolina was interviewed saying he even turned around and started screaming at HIS OWN tribe during the FIRST IMMUNITY CHALLENGE which HE LOST for them, almost single-handedly. We saw nothing of that, which is excellent for him. Probably a positive character later on.

Stephen - Got a scene along the trek, which I think is big, and got to already build a two-episode relationship arc with JT. Went from "We are not going to get along, as I am Jewish and he is southern" to "JT is amazingly great, and I have decided we are now the odd couple". It's like the first one was there only to signal us as to the importance of the second one. And maybe it changes back, as he explained he was in it for the benefits.

I also think he was CP-ish this episode, as he explained why exactly he wants to be friends with JT and how it benefits him. He shows insight to how he is perceived, which is very important. I think for a none-TC episode, he was above the CP threshold.

Shiny gold star for pre-credits confessional.

Tyson - Had a strong first episode including his own scene, which is in my opinion very poorly represented on the charts as an OTTM2.

Mixed I can live with, even though I think he was weakly positive, as tone is confusing and it's hard to rate someone who strikes me as a "loveable funny smart villain" type (someone said "evil class clown", which is an apt description). Tyson was not, however, flat. The tiara talk should have been taken in the same way in which it was said and presented - In jest. And yes, running around naked is OTT, but then explaining why you run around naked, how that benefits you and betters your image in the eyes of the tribe is CP.

The fact that he got a chance to introduce himself, his immediate tactic, explain why he's doing what he's doing and show insight into how others perceive him should trump superficial stuff like "got naked" or "mentioned tiaras". It really should. Jokes =\= OTT.

So I'm kind of ignoring the official chart as far as Tyson is concerned, and this episode he had a nice cool-down while being present and even seeming to have a word in the question of "who goes". The "I just lied to your face" beat was both funny, semi-malicious, fore-shadowy and unnecessary. I like him.

Shiny gold star for pre-credits confessional.

Apparently I had a lot to say! Good season, ya'll.