I number of players can be discounted from winning because of the massive invisibilty of Galu and historically the team with the fewer members early on tends
to have the winner. So the only possible winners can be Ashley, Elizabeth, Jaison, Mick, Russell H, Russell S, Shambo.
The following players seem like they are locks for the merge at 10
1. Russell H - is on the next season of Survivor and is the tribes beta male
2. Shambo - passed on the next season of Survivor
3. Jaison - the losers in the loser lodge didn't know about the immunity and it looks like Jaison survives a tribe swap/vote off at new galu
4. Mick - lost weight and the losers didn't know about immunity
The following players seem like they are going to make the merge based on the mini family
5. (father) - Dave - seems to be strongly alligned with a number of people on his tribe and it clearly the beta male on the tribe
6. (son) - Erik - Probst talked him up a bit like Matty which he didn't do with Brett and John he also seems to have ties with the galu family
7. (daughter) - Monica - seems like an under the rader player who will be kept along for the votes, I don't think she's a threat to win but I do think she could go far
8. (mother) - Laura - has survived the hard part for the older woman, she seems like she will also be the last person eliminated from this family which means she could be in the final three (maybe with Russell H, and another winners edit)
9 Ashley - has been given a winners edit and is clearly a major draw on the show I think she survives I think she thrives and she might just be a lock for the final three.
10 player is a mystery
Losers - It looks as if Galu's Yasmin and Russell S are both in major trouble and the next two to go... but what does this mean for a tribal swap. We can assume that someone will be voted as a new leader of Galu, based on what little information we have it will be either Erik (who will have Brett, Shambo, and maybe the entire or part of the Laura/Monica/Dave vote) or Dave (the rest of the family votes as a unit).
The Tribe Swap will/should feature the leaders of each tribe picking new members they will likely have to follow traditional pick from the other tribe rules.
Mick - picks Brett first
Erik - picks Jaison
Mick - picks Russell H
Erik - picks Dave
Mick - picks John
Erik - picks Elizabeth/maybe Natalie
Mick - picks Natalie/maybe Elizabeth
Erik -picks Ashley
Mick - picks Shambo
Erik - picks Laura
Mick - picks Kelly
Erik - picks Monica
We can reasonablly assume that Russell will continue to sabatoge his own tribe, he has an idol and we have another medivac I think both will come into play at new Foa Foa. I see New Galu only losing one player and that will be either Elizabeth (who I think is the likely choice) or maybe Natalie (who is the mystery 10th merged player). I see New Foa Foa going through some rough weeks ahead with Kelly or Brett being medivaced and John being idoled.
10th player - It's someone on new Foa Foa whomever will be the fourth person to stay alive with Mick/Russel H/Shambo who are all seemingly locks to go far in the game.
Medivaced players odds
1. John
2. Kelly
3. Brett
Who Russell and Mick will Idol out of the game
1. Brett
2. John
Who is likely to be the mystery 10th merged player
1. Natalie (Shambo jumps over to new Foa Foa)
2. Brett (they don't waste the idol on him)
3. Kelly (she slips into the ten because Natalie is voted out, someone is idoled and someone else is medivaced)
4. Elizabeth (is picked for new Foa Foa and survives)
5. John (Kelly and Brett are medi-vaced and idolled)
The following players seem like they are locks for the merge at 10
1. Russell H - is on the next season of Survivor and is the tribes beta male
2. Shambo - passed on the next season of Survivor
3. Jaison - the losers in the loser lodge didn't know about the immunity and it looks like Jaison survives a tribe swap/vote off at new galu
4. Mick - lost weight and the losers didn't know about immunity
The following players seem like they are going to make the merge based on the mini family
5. (father) - Dave - seems to be strongly alligned with a number of people on his tribe and it clearly the beta male on the tribe
6. (son) - Erik - Probst talked him up a bit like Matty which he didn't do with Brett and John he also seems to have ties with the galu family
7. (daughter) - Monica - seems like an under the rader player who will be kept along for the votes, I don't think she's a threat to win but I do think she could go far
8. (mother) - Laura - has survived the hard part for the older woman, she seems like she will also be the last person eliminated from this family which means she could be in the final three (maybe with Russell H, and another winners edit)
9 Ashley - has been given a winners edit and is clearly a major draw on the show I think she survives I think she thrives and she might just be a lock for the final three.
10 player is a mystery
Losers - It looks as if Galu's Yasmin and Russell S are both in major trouble and the next two to go... but what does this mean for a tribal swap. We can assume that someone will be voted as a new leader of Galu, based on what little information we have it will be either Erik (who will have Brett, Shambo, and maybe the entire or part of the Laura/Monica/Dave vote) or Dave (the rest of the family votes as a unit).
The Tribe Swap will/should feature the leaders of each tribe picking new members they will likely have to follow traditional pick from the other tribe rules.
Mick - picks Brett first
Erik - picks Jaison
Mick - picks Russell H
Erik - picks Dave
Mick - picks John
Erik - picks Elizabeth/maybe Natalie
Mick - picks Natalie/maybe Elizabeth
Erik -picks Ashley
Mick - picks Shambo
Erik - picks Laura
Mick - picks Kelly
Erik - picks Monica
We can reasonablly assume that Russell will continue to sabatoge his own tribe, he has an idol and we have another medivac I think both will come into play at new Foa Foa. I see New Galu only losing one player and that will be either Elizabeth (who I think is the likely choice) or maybe Natalie (who is the mystery 10th merged player). I see New Foa Foa going through some rough weeks ahead with Kelly or Brett being medivaced and John being idoled.
10th player - It's someone on new Foa Foa whomever will be the fourth person to stay alive with Mick/Russel H/Shambo who are all seemingly locks to go far in the game.
Medivaced players odds
1. John
2. Kelly
3. Brett
Who Russell and Mick will Idol out of the game
1. Brett
2. John
Who is likely to be the mystery 10th merged player
1. Natalie (Shambo jumps over to new Foa Foa)
2. Brett (they don't waste the idol on him)
3. Kelly (she slips into the ten because Natalie is voted out, someone is idoled and someone else is medivaced)
4. Elizabeth (is picked for new Foa Foa and survives)
5. John (Kelly and Brett are medi-vaced and idolled)
